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ティンバーランド ブーツ！激安価格で人気ブランド ティンバーランド通販&ティンバーランド 激安、ティンバーランド 6インチ、ティンバーランド ロールトップ、クラシックブーツ、ティンバーランドロールトップブーツ、子供靴など数多くの新作アイテムを展開。1918年より創業、長い歴史を持つティンバーランド。
Timberlandブーツに対する企業理念は、世界的に知られるようになった現在でも高く掲げられています。ティンバーランド　靴そうした目的を実現させるための商品作りにティンバーランド ブーツ全員が取り組んでおり、2008年には、timberlandエシスフィア誌「世界で最も倫理観の高い企業」ランキングにランクインしています。ティンバー ブーツアメリカのボストンで1952年に設立されたカジュアル用品のメーカーです。会社設立までのティンバーランド ロールトップの歴史もとても古く、Timberland ロールトップの創始者であるネイサンシュワーツ氏が、ボストンの靴店でTimberland ブーツ 通販を作りはじめたところからとなります。モンクレールとは、ダウンジャケットなどダウンウェアのブランドのことで、モンクレール 通販フランス・グルノーブル郊外のモネステ ド クレアモンで生まれました。モンクレール アウトレット その名は、創業の地名の一部、MONとCLERを組み合わせて、モンクレール レディース と名づけられたもので、ヨーロッパの上流階級から愛され続けています。モンクレール ダウンは、厳選された最高品質のグースの産毛を使用しています。ダウンジャケット モンクレール長年のモノ作りの経験で、ダウンウェアの各部位には最適なグラム数が１gごとに決められており、モンクレール ダウンベスト職人により厳密に守られているから、軽やかで暖かくモンクレール キッズ、包み込むような着心地のダウンウェアとなります。

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Recently,Chanel Large pink Tote black CC the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts for the first time in its latest report, "United States time" drawing to a close,Burberry Handbag according to the total amount of China's GDP at purchasing power parity will be in 5 years beyond the United States, in 2016 will be "China's first year of the century". Throw the news as a "blockbuster",Chanel Large Black Tote black CC controversial in Western countries, and national media have issued a challenge, different voices such as anxiety, an exclamation point.

Based on purchasing power parities and calculated based on the current nominal rate of GDP by how big is the gap?Chanel Large white Tote black CC Take calculated at purchasing power parity GDP in China, its findings are accurate and credible? "China will be XX years beyond the United States" what state of mind behind the report,Burberry Handbag which impact on the world? Round table invited two experts this week to explain the problem.

Calculation method

Purchasing power parities

Different from the actual exchange rate

According to the IMF calculated on a purchasing power parity, by 2016,chanel medium black tote China's total GDP increased from us $ 11.2 trillion this year to 18.97 trillion, per cent of the total world economy 18%; United States 2016 will be the total GDP of us $ 15.2 trillion this year increased to 18.8 trillion, accounting for shares slipped to 17.7% of the world economy.

Tao Wenzhao said that the IMF "China 5 over United States" this estimate "I'm afraid too plunge". He pointed out that a country's exchange rate,chanel medium black tote a total of more than 30 kinds of methods, by purchasing power parity is one of a kind. This way there is a certain logic, but at present most of the countries in the world, the vast majority of practitioners are not using this method. Therefore,Burberry Handbag Tao Wenzhao believes that "if by purchasing power parity method to come to China soon overtake United States conclusions,chanel medium white tote I think the Americans will not buy it by the General Assembly. "" It even the controversial topics of the IMF, listening is. "

Chen Fengying said a case of RMB's exchange rate against the dollar last year explains that Chanel quilted trapzoid tote pink with front big CC logo the annual average market exchange rate of the Renminbi against the dollar last year about 6.77,Chloe Handbag and based on PPP exchange rates are 4.066 Yuan is equivalent to us $ 1. Purchasing power parity exchange rate gap with the actual market rate shown. That is why some reports saying China 2010 GDP: US $ 5.87 trillion,Chanel quilted trapzoid tote yellow with front big CC logo and some reports have said China's GDP is US $ 10 trillion reasons.

Chen Fengying said that, according to market exchange rates to calculate, then the total GDP of China in 2016 will be $ 11.22 trillion,Chanel edging small handbag black United States is still 18.8 trillion dollars. At that rate, China's GDP exceeds United States before and after until 2020.Chloe Handbag If PPP is adopted to assess the strength of national economies, then the level of GDP may increase in developing countries and developed countries including Japan,Chanel edging small handbag black and Germany and the United Kingdom and other countries of the economy may have shrunk, United States is not listed,Christian Audigier Handbag because it is the States making use of the dollar.

Purchasing power parities have defective credibility

Many experts believe that evaluation method to assess the total GDP in purchasing power is not a good way.Chanel quilted trapzoid tote red with front big CC logo United States senior fellow at the Institute for enterprise Schmidt said, poor accuracy comparison of purchasing power parity method, with the actual situation considerably.

Chen Fengying said in chanel new square purse pink particular that China's National Bureau of statistics announced last November reported that China 2011 will be the first full participation in the new round of the World Bank Group's international comparison project (ICP) activities.chanel new square purse This means that China will be the first to purchasing power parity (PPP) as a conversion factor to convert GDP (gross domestic product), to facilitate comparison with other countries. Before that, selected by the World Bank commodity representative is not strong, but also to the choice of comparison goods in the World Bank, China more passive,chanel purse in earth yellow the purchasing power parity calculated accordingly may not be accurate. After the full participation of China,Christian Audigier Handbag the project comparison of selected commodities will be more representative and universality.

Chen Fengying said also pointed out that, according to market exchange rates of the GDP is not fully trusted,chanel purse in pink because these are based on a dollar to conversion, and the dollar exchange rate is floating. Therefore, in accordance with the data calculated by two methods, its credibility is Yes,Coach Handbags but there may be some problems in equity.

Core prompt

"Using PPP and market exchange rates calculated total GDP gap is very large,chanel purse in red respectively. That is why some reports saying China 2010 GDP: US $ 5.87 trillion, and some reports have said China's GDP is US $ 10 trillion reasons. ' 5.87 trillion ' this number reflects China's economic strength, and the ' 10 trillion ' is more to reflect the domestic real,chanel handheld purse black average standard of living of the people. ”

China institutes of contemporary international relations, Director of the Institute of world economics Chen Fengying said

"If by purchasing power parity method to come to China soon overtake United States conclusions,chanel handheld purse green I think the Americans will not buy it by the General Assembly. This even controversial topics of the IMF, hear the shot. ”

Sino-US relations Research Center of Tsinghua University, senior research fellow at the Tao Wenzhao

Influence factors

The world economic environment

China growth

Tao Wenzhao believes that Sino-US economic development in the future,chanel handheld purse apricot not only to see its own factor, also taking into account the environment of the world economy.

First of all, Tao Wenzhao pointed out that the United States economy is growing this year, if good recovery may have 3%~3.5% of growth,chanel handheld purse apricot its GDP accounted for about 27% of the world, China's GDP is only equivalent to the total United States one-third a little, also have a considerable period of time to catch up with the United States.

In addition, our "35" deliberately to slow down the economic growth rate for the period,chanel handheld purse blue to improve the quality of economic growth and, "35" to adjust to an average annual economic growth during 7%. From the subjective wishes and on policy-oriented, not high speed pursuit of economic growth, but rather to improve the quality of the economy and economic structural adjustment.chanel handheld purse pink Therefore, 10% of the past cannot be assumed growth rates for future reference.

Third, also there are many complex situations in the world economy, are likely to have an impact on China's economy.

For example, Japan this year suffered earthquake and tsunami,chanel leather handheld purse red Japan's economy certainly affected. As Japan's largest trading partner, China's economy will inevitably be affected.

Tao Wenzhao believes that these factors will in the world economy have an impact on China's economic growth.chanel leather handheld purse pink Given these, "2016 China overtake United States" is not too practical.

The rise of China

Do not rule out "pengsha"

Chen Fengying said that, as international force structure changes, people will value, and even zoom in the rise of Chinese power. Therefore,chanel leather handheld purse pink this report does not rule out the possibility that the exposure of "pengsha," the China factor. The so-called "economic issues", United States today are global allies, China may have a fear of the world. Chen Fengying said said the IMF PPP GDP calculated separately at this time independent,chanel handheld purse red its deep meaning may be required to a major power status more international responsibility in China.

Tao Wenzhao believes that this is not necessarily the "pengsha" in China.chanel leather handheld purse China's GDP in ten or 20 years beyond the United States, it is possible that things,Coach Handbags but GDP more than United States and not necessarily must have strong comprehensive national strength United States, after all, the United States of technological innovation, military strength, and is still very strong, not to mention our per capita GDP is still a fraction of the people. Chen Fengying said the number of listed alleged,D&G Handbag that by the year 2016,new chanel purse tote mini boston black China per capita GDP of around 13,720 m, and the United States GDP per capita: US $ 57,330.

United States reaction

United States the current

Great importance to the GDP

Chen Fengying said believes that United States current also attaches great importance to GDP.chanel medallion medium tote red Because on the one hand, military research and development, education, science and technology, new energy and other inputs needs money, not GDP done thing,D&G Handbag and the United States are now at the stage of recession of difficult recovery of the economy, GDP valued this more than ever before. Coupled with the rise of China's growth,chanel medallion medium tote faster than expected, so United States GDP was all the more important.

Chen Fengying said that, for the United States, this report has introduced "warning" role,chanel medallion medium tote white letting Americans know, United States will also be other countries catching up.

Noun explanation

Purchasing power parities

PPP (Purchasing Power Parity,chanel medallion medium tote black PPP for short) are calculated according to the different price levels between the currencies of equivalent coefficient of, reasonable comparison to gross domestic product of States.Dooney&Bourke Handbag In other words,Christian Louboutin For Ever Tina Suede Platform Boots the purchasing power parity is the exchange rate between two currencies in proportion to their purchasing power of money.

For example, in the United States Hamburg,Christian Louboutin White Black bought a US $ 5, while the same hamburger in China needs 20 billion, which means that when buying Hamburg,Dooney&Bourke Handbag purchasing power of the 20 million and US $ 5, this time against the PPP is 4:1.

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